LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators equally come into this Saturdays game with announcement victories.
LSU went to Texas and defeat the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn at the Swamp weekend. But in this weeks matchup in Death Valley, both teams seem to take over a top-four spot in the race .
Floridas defense leads the way for them. Theyve given up the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also havent given up a stage from the 4th quarter because their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered since he went 11 for 27 with three INTs into creating decisions that were several a week.
But Joe Burrow isnt Nix. He is a seasoned quarterback and has led LSU to the offensive launching in SEC history. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in school soccer. This includes the 45 they dumped on Texas.
Together with Death Valley awaitings roar that the Gators come in as 13-point underdogs on BetNow. Does the No. cover the spread and 5 defense keep this near? Or will also the No. 2 passing crime and Burrow keep rolling up and also win the wager? Here is the breakdown.
Theres hardly any uncertainty in Burrows skill . Hes transformed into a Heisman candidate, having a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
He is also working with a few of the getting groups in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, with averages over 15 YPC for three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some huge games. Chase is an actual presence on the opposite side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is an experienced target that will fill the area. It is all a part of a passing game thats Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face undoubtedly the toughest DB unit theyve played with throughout the year. Northwestern State is an FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt composed by the other competitors of LSU: Georgia Southern 111th, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Utah State 103rd.
Florida sits at 33rd, though its safe to say they have yet to play with a QB of Burrows caliber. They have played with FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis creates a bunch of havoc in the secondary (111 metres on three INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on irregular so far in the other corner spot, but still has a large ceiling.
Burrow will even face a ominous pass-rush, which will be completely healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, considered to function as coming into this year, is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the flip side, LSUs 63rd-ranked sack rate in their o-line will be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask replaced Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) since Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
While the QB need to enhance his awareness in the pocket, he has yet to get flustered by an opposing line. Auburns is the best in the country, and ranks 11th in lineup yards, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st in LY and is now 85th in bag rate. They will rely on blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask his game off. Even the Florida QB is certain in the pocket but is not portable out of it. He wore a leg brace when he reentered the match and also sprained a knee in the match.
With the LBs involved in the pass-rush, All-American security Grant Delpit needs to produce big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is imperative to LSUs success on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is most considered DBU for the talent they have on their defenses outside. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him on the All-Freshman team, or even longer, in 2019.
Will probably soon be Kristian Fulton, who allowed the smallest sum of downs this past year out of all returning FBS corners. Although this group is 69th in passing yards allowed per-game, itll be given an opportunity against a pressured Trask.
Balance is going to be as crucial as for Florida, who hasnt got their running game going however this year. Lamical Perine broke a tackle at the line on his way to an 88-yard TD run . Even with that, the Florida o-line ranks 113th based on yards and also can be going up from the No. 1 d-line in terms of power success (short-yardage situations).
While the LSU front may not be potent. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and that is like Perines long run and a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed out the Kentucky game.
If they dont get Dameon or Perine Pierce going consistently, it puts ways pressure on Trask in a hostile atmosphere.
Florida has earned respect from the school football world following week. And while I dont expect them to come out at Death Valley with a win against LSU, I do see this game staying nearer than many.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is one of the more intelligent QBs in the FBS. However, LSU is not going to install 45 or anything close to this against a defense whos known at all 3 levels. Their pass-rush has fully developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
The Gators defense will work out over time, as the group has relied on them. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic against Jefferson or the Chase.
But I do not anticipate this until late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the game in enough of a slog till afterward makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)
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